Paperback edition of the international bestseller, which presents a concept that changes the way we look at the world. A Black Swan is a highly unlikely event, its cannot be easily explained. Examples are the astonishing success of Google and the tragedy of 9/11. For fans of Freakonomics , The Wisdom Of Crowds and The Tipping Point . A fascinating study... Larry Elliot , Guardian What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? And, what can Catherine the Greats lovers tell us about probability? This book shows us how to stop trying to predict everything and take advantage of uncertainty.